ComebackChris has made 10 moves already
The league median is 1 through week 2.
Week 2, final
The league median is 1 through week 2.
Week 2, final. Every number here is real.
The league median is 1 through week 2.
Actual 175.2, best possible 211.6.
27 points since the week 1 pickup; Hunter Henry, dropped to make room, has scored 0 since.
From 74.9% to 45.0% after a loss in week 2.
All-play record 5-13; expected wins 0.6, actual 2.
That total would have beaten 1 of the week's 5 winners.
Games in progress update every few minutes.
282.3 points in the biggest game. 216.65 in the smallest.
Closest game: 6.85
Highest-scoring game of the week
Biggest margin: 91.9
After 2 weeks. Real numbers, computed from every game played.
2-0 378.4 points scored
2-0 287.55 points scored
2-0 225 points scored · defending champion
1-1 362.95 points scored
1-1 309.1 points scored
1-1 294.65 points scored
1-1 234.05 points scored
0-2 230.8 points scored
0-2 226.6 points scored
0-2 197.1 points scored
Beat is how the team would have done against every other team each week, not just the one it was scheduled against. Luck is wins minus that same figure: positive means the schedule has been kind so far. Bench is points scored by players who were sitting out. The full table is on the Standings+ page.
After 2 weeks. Longest bar, best chance.
98.9%
94.2%
87.7%
84.4%
78.0%
57.0%
45.0%
23.9%
19.9%
11.2%
The bar is how often a team made the playoffs when the rest of the season was played out 10,000 times. It moves every week, sometimes by a lot.
Week 2. Written every Wednesday morning, checked against the numbers first.
The Waiver Wire Has a Frequent Flyer
ComebackChris is redrafting on the fly at 2-0, two games ended somewhere around halftime, and the defending champ is undefeated without anyone checking the math.
Ten friends, ten pretend teams of real NFL players.
Every catch a player makes is worth one point to the manager who started him, on top of points for yards and touchdowns.
This league runs full PPR, so receivers who catch a lot of short passes are worth more here than they look on TV.
Each manager starts ten players and sits the rest. Points the sitting players score are called bench points, and they count for nothing.
A big bench number means the right players were on the roster and the wrong ones were in the lineup.
Each week a team plays one opponent, which is a small sample. So we also check the score against every other team.
A team can beat almost everyone and still lose the one game that counts.
Wins minus the wins a team deserved based on how it did against the whole field. Positive is fortunate, negative is not.
Luck evens out over a season, which is the most annoying true thing in this sport.